Leaked Document Signals Bad News For Northern Ireland

Image      North East England would suffer a 16% hit to GDP under 'no deal'

MPs are now able to view the documents in a confidential reading room.

"What matters is the positions we take in the negotiations as we sit down and negotiate the best deal".

The breakdown predicted that every part of the United Kingdom would have negative growth under all three scenarios.

The forecasts are based on the 15-year impact of staying in the single market, doing a trade deal with the EU, or exiting the union with no deal.

According to Sky News, the report contains a region-by-region breakdown of potential GDP losses under three scenarios: staying in the single market, leaving with a free-trade deal, and a no-deal Brexit.

"They show that Brexit will be a big drag anchor on economic growth in the West Midlands for years to come". Even if Britain remains in the single market, the North's economic growth would be 2.5 per cent lower than if it remained in the EU.

Following agreement on the Common Travel Area (CTA) in December 2017, Department officials were optimistic that we had avoided the worst-case scenario of disruption to the Irish health services post-Brexit, so long as the commitments are followed through.

Jude Kirton-Darling, Labour MEP for the North East of England, added: "As disquieting as this may be, it is unfortunately only the beginning of a string of bad news to come out of the leaked impact assessment papers, and the direct result of the Tories being incapable of negotiating a Brexit deal that won't drain all money and economic prospects out of the North East".

More than 200 people signed the letter which was sent to Ireland's Prime Minister
Image Northern Ireland could face a 12% hit to GDP

Liberal Democrat MP Tom Brake, the party's Brexit spokesperson, said: "This is a damning outlook for Britain".

"The Tories must now explain why they accused the Scottish Government of scaremongering when their own government was covering up similar findings".

"The Conservatives are putting the public in the firing line because they are hell bent on Brexit". They are still keeping no deal on the table despite how crippling it would be to the regional economy.

In Commons on Wednesday, the SNP's Stephen Gethins appeared to confirm the 12% figure for Northern Ireland in a question to Northern Ireland Secretary, Karen Bradley.

"People did not vote to make themselves poorer".

However, if there is a no-deal Brexit, the UK Government's assessment of a 9% drop in GDP is even more severe than the Scottish Government's analysis, released last month, of 8.5%.

Northern Ireland would suffer an 8 per cent dip in growth after a free trade deal, a 12 per cent dip in the event of "no deal", and a 2.5 per cent fall in the single market. "And is this too high a price to pay to stop a Tory civil war breaking out?" he said.




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